The Future Workforce Index: Evolving Talent Trends in 2025 and Beyond
2/16/26, 13:23 The Future Workforce Index: Evolving Talent Trends in 2025 and Beyond
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Resources Research The Future Workforce Index: Evolving Talent Trends in 2025 and Beyond
The Future Workforce Index:
Evolving Talent Trends in 2025
and Beyond
Apr 23, 2025
By Gabby Burlacu and Kelly Monahan
Executive summary
As the integration of AI across sectors accelerates and business leaders
feel competitive pressures mount, they are grappling with growing skills
gaps that threaten organizational performance. Traditional employment-
centric structures with rigid, pre-pandemic models are failing to meet the
evolving demands of the workforce. In this new annual report, The Upwork
Research Institute surveyed 3,000 skilled knowledge workers and found a
significant shift is underway: 28% of skilled knowledge workers now
operate as freelancers or independent professionals, seeking greater
autonomy, financial control, and meaningful work.
This shift is reshaping not only careers but also the broader labor
market, as freelancers collectively generated $1.5 trillion in earnings
in 2024, often out-earning their counterparts who hold traditional
full-time roles.
This trend is poised to accelerate: 36% of knowledge workers who
currently hold full-time jobs are considering freelancing, and Gen Z
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is overwhelmingly choosing independent work.
Skilled freelancers are proving to be more future-ready than full-
time employees, excelling in emerging fields such as AI, software
development, and sustainability while embracing continuous
learning and self-directed skill development. They are leading the
adoption of AI tools, with over half (54%) reporting advanced
proficiency and indicating superior adaptability, critical thinking,
and problem-solving abilities—key attributes for navigating an AI-
integrated workforce.
Although business leaders remain hesitant to embrace non-traditional
talent models, our research shows that those who leverage this growing
talent pool drive higher revenue growth. These findings highlight a
growing imperative for businesses: as more skilled workers opt for self-
managed, long-term careers centered on continuous learning and skill
variety, business leaders must adapt their talent strategies to include
these professionals. Failing to do so is to risk widening skills gaps and
falling behind in a rapidly shifting world of work.
How is skilled talent evolving?
As competitive pressures intensify and AI technology advances at an
unprecedented pace, workforce skills have become a foremost concern
for business leaders. Thirty-eight percent of C-suite executives say the
gap between available and needed skills will be a major factor impeding
their organization’s performance this year—one that will have a bigger
impact than regulatory changes, leadership misalignment, or shifting
consumer demands.
Some of these pressures reflect the stark reality that there are simply
fewer skilled workers than there used to be: aging populations in many
developed countries mean people are aging out of the workforce at
increasing rates, and organizational structures that are viewed as too rigid
in the post-COVID era are causing other groups to leave voluntarily. Some
of this change may be due in part to the fact that the very nature of what it
means to be skilled is rapidly changing, as AI becomes embedded across
functions and organizations and creates new ways of working.
In this new annual report, the Upwork Research Institute explores the
question: How is skilled talent evolving? Our findings reveal an ongoing
and accelerating shift away from the conventional 9-to-5 employment
model, signaling a transformation in the way work is structured and
performed. In a survey of 3,000 skilled knowledge workers, we find that
more than one in four (28%) works in a freelance or non-traditional work
model, opting for greater control over their career, financial future, and
ability to pursue work that is meaningful to them.
Skilled knowledge freelance work generated over 1.5 trillion USD in
earnings in 2024, earned by the roughly 20 million workers who
performed this kind of work in the United States. Across functions and
occupations like writing, creative design, and IT and development, full-
time freelancers out-earned their full-time employee (FTE) counterparts,
earning a median income of $85,000. Skilled moonlighters, who
performed freelance knowledge work alongside their full-time jobs,
earned $40,000 in addition to their full-time wages. With 78% of skilled
freelancers reporting satisfaction with their pay versus just 64% of FTEs,
our data suggests they are finding value in reshaping their careers and
working outside of the traditional organizational boundaries.
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The Future Workforce Index is The Upwork Research Institute’s flagship
report, tracking the rise of skilled freelancers and their impact on the
workforce, on the economy, and on business innovation.
Introducing the freelance
knowledge worker
Skilled knowledge work performed on a freelance or contract basis differs
from gig work in that skilled knowledge workers apply highly specialized
expertise toward solving organizational challenges. This expertise is often
honed through education, training, and experience. Indeed, more skilled
freelancers have post-graduate degrees (37%) than their full-time
employee counterparts (20%), and translate this knowledge into the
delivery of skilled services (such as computer programming, marketing,
creative design, and IT) or professional consulting activities.
However, we need to point out that different skilled freelancers approach
and manage their work differently. Our research finds that skilled
freelancers typically take on one or more of the following personas that
indicate different preferences in modes of working (see Figure 1).
Figure 1.
The Freelance Business Owner, representing 33% of skilled freelancers,
owns and operates their own business, typically managing a portfolio of
different clients and projects simultaneously.
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The Agency Freelancer, representing 43% of skilled freelancers, teams up
with other freelancers through an agency model that provides end-to-end
services to organizations.
The Managed Services Freelancer, representing 33% of skilled
freelancers, works as part of a team that provides functional managed
services to organizations.
The AI-Enabled Freelancer, representing 31% of skilled freelancers,
approaches their work using a combination of their human capabilities
and AI-enabled tools. While they are not the only persona using these
tools to augment their work, these freelancers specifically design and
market their services as a partnership between themselves and AI. This
mode of working is on the rise, as 36% of skilled freelancers anticipate
working this way in five years.
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Across these modes of working, skilled freelancers are finding a freedom
that traditional full-time employment models don’t allow. These
freelancers are motivated by flexibility in their schedule, the ability to be
their own boss, and the control they have that allows them to pursue work
they feel to be meaningful, all while managing their own development and
building a career. Further, these workers are finding the initial value
proposition of working non-traditionally holds true. The top reasons
skilled freelancers started freelancing in the first place—to have flexibility,
to be their own boss, and to pursue meaningful work—are the same
reasons they continue.
Skilled freelancing is also widespread among knowledge workers at all
levels. For instance, executive-level leaders may be surprised to learn how
high the chances are that they or someone in their immediate network has
freelanced; 63% of C-level leaders tell us they have at some point in their
career. In fact, 42% of CEOs have performed skilled freelance work that is
related to their current area of expertise.
The Future Workforce Index: how
skilled freelancers measure up
The future is coming fast, and the very concept of being “skilled” is a
moving target. According to the World Economic Forum, 39% of worker
skills will become transformed or outdated in the next five years. Skilled
freelancers lack access to the traditional organizational structures
designed to keep employees informed, trained, and relevant. Can they
keep up?
To answer this question, The Upwork Research Institute developed the
Future Workforce Index. The Index is designed, in part, to determine the
readiness of skilled workers of all kinds to take on what’s next, across a
range of dimensions. In particular, a future-ready worker is one who (a)
has expertise in fast-growing areas, (b) continuously learns and applies
new skills, (c) is proficient in using emerging technology like AI to enhance
and amplify their work, (d) possesses uniquely human skillsets that are
becoming increasingly critical as the workforce shifts to managing and
working alongside AI agents, and (e) is motivated and energized to grow
their career in a changing world of work.
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We found that in many cases, skilled knowledge freelancers are actually
outpacing their skilled full-time counterparts in future-readiness—
through self-directed learning, hands-on experiences, and continuous
self-development that is not always possible in a traditional organizational
setting (see Figure 2).
Figure 2.
Expertise in fast-growing areas. Although the skills landscape is ever-
evolving, it is increasingly clear that certain kinds of work—and people
who know how to perform it—will be needed in the future. Technology-
related roles such as Machine Learning Specialists and Software
Developers are projected to grow, as are green and energy transition
roles such as Environmental Engineers and experts in renewable energy.
Nearly one in three (31%) skilled knowledge freelancers claim extensive
experience in renewable energy and sustainability initiatives, versus just
17% of skilled full-time employees. Twenty-nine percent are experienced
in building and training machine learning models, compared with 18% and
20% of full-time employees, respectively. And 35% report extensive
experience in software development, versus just 28% of full-time
employees.
Continuous learning and skill application. Skilled freelancers and full-time
employees are both similarly comfortable learning new skills, and both
groups are excited by the prospect of continuous learning within their
careers. One in three (32%) skilled workers say they are actively working
on picking up new skills “all the time.” Unsurprisingly, most (87% of
freelancers and 82% of FTEs) say they have learned a new skill in the past
six months. The key difference among these workers is in the learning
sources available to them. While skilled full-time employees lean more on
formal organizational training (54%) and organizationally sponsored
development (46%), skilled freelancers are free to pursue a wider variety
of formal, experiential, and social learning opportunities, leaning
particularly on self-directed learning (64%), formal certification programs
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(41%), and apprenticeships and mentorships (28%, vs. 20% of full-time
employees that do the same; see Figure 3).
Figure 3.
Proficiency in AI. This multi-modal approach to learning especially pays
off when it comes to using AI tools professionally. Here, skilled knowledge
freelancers are well ahead of their full-time employee peers. In short, they
are better trained. Fifty-one percent are self-training on AI tools, versus
39% of full-time employees. And although they are equally likely to be
pursuing formal training courses on AI as full-time employees, freelancers
are also more likely to be experimenting hands-on and earning formal
certifications (see Figure 4). This proactive approach to AI is driven in part
by confidence that these tools will enhance rather than replace their work
—84% of skilled freelancers are excited by the prospect of these tools
reshaping their services, offerings, and workflows. As a result of pursuing
diverse AI learning pathways, over one in two (54%) skilled freelancers
report advanced or expert level skill in using AI tools for work, and 62%
use these tools at least several times per week, versus just 53% of full-
time employees.
Figure 4.
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Uniquely human skillsets for an AI agent future. Although technical AI
skills are growing in importance, experts agree that humans play a pivotal
role in the AI-enabled workplace of the future. Specifically, as AI agents
move from idea to reality, workers increasingly need to manage and work
alongside these tools in ways that optimize their output and fully realize
their value. To effectively manage AI agents, workers will need to be
creative and adaptable, communicate clearly, and think critically. Skilled
freelancers reporting these uniquely human skills as a major strength
exceed full-time employees across nearly every skillset—notably, more
are experts in problem solving (49%, vs. 44% of FTEs), clear
communication (47%, vs. 40% of FTEs), critical thinking (43%, vs. 38%),
and adaptability (41%, vs. 37% of FTEs; see Figure 2).
Motivation and energy to take on what’s next. Eighty-one percent of
business leaders acknowledge they are asking their workers to do more
than they were a year ago, but the truth is, many workers are entering the
future of work on fumes. Seventy-one percent of full-time employees
report being burned out. Experience in key areas and proficiency in
emerging skillsets are important, but just as critical for future readiness
are the motivation and outlook to continue being resilient in the face of
disruption and change. Today, skilled freelancers are more energized by
their work than are FTEs—83% say their work contributes positively to
their sense of physical, mental, and emotional well-being. They are also
more likely to perceive their professional opportunities as growing—
unsurprising, considering their comfort with and proficiency in using AI
tools. Specifically, as seen in Figure 5, 82% of skilled freelancers believe
they have more work opportunities available to them than a year ago,
compared to 63% of FTEs. In fact, 88% of skilled freelancers believe their
skillsets are more in demand than ever.
Figure 5.
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Are business leaders ready?
Despite a growing need for skilled workers, many business leaders are
uncomfortable with some of the implications of freelancers working in an
alternative talent model. Ninety-five percent of leaders are uncomfortable
with the idea that a worker would consider themselves a business owner
or “entrepreneur.” Fifty-nine percent are uncomfortable with workers
working for other organizations at the same time as their own—in fact,
one in two believe this is “wrong.” Twenty-nine percent say they don’t feel
comfortable with workers pursuing self-development on key topics, like
AI, outside of the organization’s four walls—despite the limitations of
traditional learning and development in keeping pace with rapidly evolving
AI tools.
But openness to non-traditional talent pools both widens the net for
accessing skilled talent and also grows revenue. In an analysis of publicly
traded US-based organizations, we found that high revenue growth
companies—those in the top 25% of year-over-year growth—are more
likely to embed non-traditional talent models into the fabric of their
organization (see Figure 6). Fifty percent of these companies lean on
managed services partners, bringing in external talent to manage key
operations. An additional 45% embed skilled freelancers across functions.
And 41% leverage mature human+machine AI strategies, in which workers
—both freelance and full-time—are encouraged to optimize their human
skills alongside AI tools. We’ve previously shared how Work Innovators are
becoming more antifragile through their unique approaches to integrating
people and technology. Companies that continue to rely exclusively on
traditional work models, conversely, are positioning themselves more
reactively and ultimately falling behind.
Figure 6.
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Freelancing is the future of skilled
knowledge work
The number of skilled knowledge workers freelancing today is massive—
and it’s poised to grow. Over one in three (36%) skilled full-time
employees are considering freelancing in order to better access
professional opportunities (see Figure 7), while only 10% of skilled
freelancers are considering moving into a traditional, full-time model. Gen
Z workers, who will make up 30% of the US workforce by 2030, are
overwhelmingly electing to work as freelancers—53% of skilled Gen Z
knowledge workers are already working in this way. Eighty-four percent of
skilled freelancers believe the best days are ahead for freelancing in
general, and notably, 77% of full-time employees say the same.
Figure 7.
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What does this mean for skilled workers? Building a career outside of the
confines of the traditional work model has never been more possible, or
more advantageous. Skilled knowledge freelancers are at the intersection
of innovation, AI, and workforce transformation, and are not only
outearning their FTE counterparts today but are also better preparing
themselves for the future. While stability was once the promise of full-time
employment, a rapidly evolving world of work is revealing this holds true
neither for every company nor for every worker. The new promise
associated with freelance work is control, self-development, and
meaning.
It is important to note that independently built careers are a constantly
evolving long game. Two thirds of skilled knowledge freelancers have
been working this way for over three years—and 18% for over ten. Key to
this is freelancers taking a leading role in their own learning. Indeed, 87%
of skilled knowledge freelancers prefer work that helps them improve
their current skills or learn new ones, versus work that allows them to use
the skills they have. When evaluating potential work opportunities, these
freelancers determine person-skills fit—the extent to which the work will
allow them to apply their strongest skills and provide them with enough
skill variety to learn something new—in addition to other factors like
flexibility and earning potential.
What does this mean for business leaders? C-suite leaders know that
we’ve entered a new era when it comes to our organizations. Most realize
they cannot rely on traditional approaches to developing products,
engaging customers, and creating value. Yet the traditional work model
remains the most popular way to structure an organization, with relatively
few leaders open to moving away from the norm. Skilled knowledge
workers are pushing back. With so many opting out of the traditional
organizational structure and instead into lucrative, meaningful, self-
managed careers, leaders must ensure that any search for skilled talent
includes these workers, or they risk exacerbating skills gaps and falling
behind.
Further, it is worth considering the factors driving this opt-out. Skilled
workers, whether they currently are, once were, or have never been full-
time employees, believe that within organizations their professional and
developmental opportunities are relatively limited. The most effective
talent models of the future will be those that embrace diverse ways of
working, empowering all individuals to contribute their best while
removing barriers that hinder learning, innovation and growth.
Upwork Research Institute Quarterly B2B Pulse survey, n=500 C-level
executives
Please see Methodology section for more information
The Future Workforce Index was developed through an extensive
literature review and validated with internal subject matter experts
Methodology
The Upwork Research Institute conducted a survey of 3,000 skilled, US-
based knowledge workers in December 2024-February 2025. Skilled
workers were determined by first targeting a representative sample of US
workers, and then limiting survey participants to those working above the
administrative level across skilled organizational functions and earning
hourly earnings above a minimum threshold, as determined by analyzing
BLS salary data. The margin of error for these insights is 1.8% at the 95%
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confidence level.
Skilled freelancers were determined through self reports, with the
additional criteria of currently working or having worked as freelancer
within the past 12 months. Skilled moonlighters—full-time employees who
also perform freelance work on the side—were determined when their
freelance work met the same criteria.
In order to extrapolate survey insights to skilled US workers, the BLS
category of management, professional and related occupations was used
(comprising approximately 71.5 million workers, or 42% of working adults
in the US currently). Median self-reported earnings were used to
approximate the 2024 earnings of skilled full-time workers, skilled
freelancers, and skilled moonlighters (where self-reported earnings were
multiplied by the percent of their earnings attributed to freelance work).
The Upwork Research Institute conducted an additional survey of 502
US-based C-level executives with hiring responsibilities within their
organizations in December 2024. These executives represented publicly
traded organizations in the Business and professional services,
Healthcare and medical, Manufacturing, Retail and consumer goods, and
Software and technology industries.
About The Upwork Research Institute
The world of work is not the same as it was just a few years ago and
leaders are facing brand new challenges as a result. The old work
playbook is gone, and in its place, there are debates and decisions around
workforce location, worker arrangements, and flexibility. However, leaders
do not need to navigate this new world of work on their own.
The Upwork Research Institute is committed to studying the fundamental
shifts in the workforce and providing business leaders with the tools and
insights they need to navigate the here and now while preparing their
organization for the future. Using our proprietary platform data, global
survey research, partnerships, and academic collaborations, we will
produce evidence-based insights to create the blueprint for the new way
of work.
About the authors
Gabby Burlacu
Dr. Gabby Burlacu is Senior Research Manager at Upwork, where she
studies how organizations are adjusting their cultures and talent practices
to access skilled talent in a rapidly evolving world of work. Her research
has been featured in a variety of peer-reviewed studies, articles, book
chapters, and media outlets, and has informed strategy and technology
development across a range of Fortune 500 companies. Gabby holds a
Ph. D. in industrial-organizational psychology from Portland State
University.
Kelly Monahan
Dr. Kelly Monahan is the Founder and Managing Director of the Upwork
Research Institute, where she leads research on emerging technologies,
remote workforce strategies, and fostering inclusive cultures for non-
traditional talent like freelancers. With over a decade of experience in
future of work research, her work focuses on delivering actionable
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insights to help organizations adapt to the evolving world of work.
Kelly is the author of two books, including the USA Today bestseller
Essential, and How Behavioral Economics Influences Management
Decision-Making: A New Paradigm. She holds a B.S. from Rochester
Institute of Technology, an M.S. from Roberts Wesleyan College, and a
Ph.D. in organizational leadership from Regent University.
Acknowledgements
The Upwork Research Institute would like to thank our partners who have
given their expertise to make this research possible. In particular,
McGuire Research, Beresford Research, Ryan Clark, Melissa Hong,
Keyola Panza, and Marcus Grimm.
Recommended research
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