"if the Gulf war ends, oil prices will go lower which will then allow the West to tighten the sanctions grip again on Russia" [sanctions grip]
The quote directly links Gulf war termination to oil price decline to renewed sanctions effectiveness against Russia, naming the precise causal chain the signal describes.
Reasoning from this article
The article identifies a structural interdependency: elevated oil prices from Gulf conflict inadvertently subsidize Russia's war economy by keeping Urals crude revenues high enough to offset sanctions discounts. If Gulf hostilities end and IEA-projected supply surges materialize, the compounding effect of lower benchmark prices plus reimposed Urals discounts could push Russian budget revenues to crisis levels. This generalizes to a broader pattern where commodity-price floors created by unrelated conflicts provide inadvertent fiscal lifelines to sanctioned petrostates.