"neither the government of Lebanon nor that of Israel were included in the negotiations, and are now being called upon to enforce a ceasefire" [Lebanon]
The explicit identification of Lebanon and Israel as excluded parties who must nonetheless enforce the ceasefire directly names the structural enforcement gap the signal describes.
Reasoning from this article
The article documents Israeli strikes continuing after a ceasefire was supposed to take effect, with civilians killed in homes they returned to believing the ceasefire was in place — a concrete illustration of the enforcement gap created by proxy exclusion. The analyst's observation that the MOU 'gives Iran veto power over Lebanon' while Trump simultaneously tweets rejection of Iranian regional leadership reveals a contradictory structure baked into the agreement. This pattern — bilateral deals that outsource enforcement to excluded actors — is a recurring failure mode in proxy conflicts from Syria to Yemen.