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Yuan internationalization accelerating through CIPS, invisible to SWIFT metrics
Analysis
A growing share of yuan-denominated cross-border transactions is being routed through China's CIPS system and bilateral settlement arrangements, systematically bypassing SWIFT's measurement infrastructure. This creates a structural data gap: Western analysts relying on SWIFT data may be materially underestimating yuan adoption. The PBOC claims yuan is the world's third-largest payment currency; SWIFT data shows it sixth at 2.74%. As CIPS expands, the divergence between Western-visible and actual yuan usage will widen, with significant implications for dollar dominance assessments.
Key actors
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