Marco andrea@passaglia.it
The Bellwether

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Domestic liquidity constraints forcing emerging-market banks to internationalize funding sources faster than historical precedent

str 8 1/20/2026 · 1 article
structural · economic · Finance · SA
Analysis

Saudi banks' international borrowing tripled year-over-year to $33bn in 2025 as domestic deposit growth failed to keep pace with credit expansion driven by state megaproject financing. This signals a structural shift: when state-directed development outpaces domestic savings mobilization, banks are forced into foreign capital markets at accelerating rates, creating new cross-border financial dependencies.

Key actors
Saudi banksSAMAFitch Ratings
Source article
Saudi banks borrow abroad at fastest ever pace
"The kingdom's lenders collectively borrowed about $33bn in 2025, roughly three times the previous high of $10.5bn set the year before" [$33bn]
Reasoning from this article

The article frames this not as a temporary funding gap but as a structural mismatch: credit growth has 'outpaced the growth of deposits' and banks are 'unable to match' liability-side growth with capital generation. The loan-to-deposit ratio of 106% (vs. 75% in UAE) indicates Saudi banks have hit a domestic funding ceiling. This pattern—state-directed development exhausting domestic savings, forcing banks abroad—is generalizable to other oil-rich states pursuing diversification under fiscal pressure.

Bellwether · 2026 Marco