Marco andrea@passaglia.it
The Bellwether

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Southeast Asia erecting EV trade barriers targeting Chinese overcapacity

str 8 4/13/2026 · 2 articles
structural · investment · trade, EVs, geopolitics · MY, CN, EU
Analysis

Malaysia's new restrictions on Chinese EVs signal that the secondary wave of Chinese export displacement — after Europe and North America — is now hitting Southeast Asian markets that were previously considered receptive or neutral. This is structurally significant because ASEAN was China's primary tariff-circumvention corridor and a key destination for Chinese manufacturing FDI. A defensive posture from Malaysia suggests the political economy of Chinese EV penetration is generating backlash even among non-aligned states. Combined with Chinese carmakers surpassing 1 million EU export units (up 30.7% YoY) while displacing Japanese and Korean rivals, the pattern is one of accelerating market penetration triggering a global defensive response.

Key actors
BYDMalaysian governmentACEA
Bellwether · 2026 Marco