"Double China Shock – hitting developing and advanced economies alike, from opposite ends of the value chain" [Double China Shock]
The article documents that the original 'China shock' (low-tech displacement of advanced economy manufacturing in the 2000s) has now bifurcated: it continues to harm developing economies at the low end while a new second shock hits advanced and industrializing economies at the medium-to-high end. Germany losing 1-in-20 industrial jobs since 2019 and Indonesia losing 250,000 textile jobs since 2021 are simultaneous expressions of the same underlying dynamic. The structural implication is that the normal economic strategy of 'moving up the value chain to escape low-cost competition' is no longer viable when the same competitor dominates both ends.